Tuesday, May 31, 2011

Finals Pick

First off I want to say sorry about the break, I'll be getting back on my blog grind now that schools winding down.

Wow, what a postseason! A lot of great series and crazy outcomes. To bad that theese series didn't go so longer. Who would've thought a 5 game series could be so competitive. Both of the past 2 Miami series were way more exciting and competitive then the scores show. Not to mention Dallas' amazing comebacks (or OKC collapses). But lets get down to business.

You couldn't have written a finals match-up better than this. Dirk attempting to triumph over the team that knocked him off his pedestool five years ago. LeBron going for his first ring (again) The big three getting to the finals in their first year. Mark Cuban fined zero dollars throught the playoff run so far. A lot of compelling stuff with this match-up, but the most glaring of all comes from what the series means itself.

Lebron left Cleveland because he recognized the fact that you can't win with one star on the team. Now he and the big three are up against Dirk and the Mavs. Yes Dirk. Alone. One star. Granted he has more talent then Cleveland had, this team is a slightly more talented Cavs team from past seasons. Now we will see who was right. If LeBron wins, he was right. He can't do it alone and all he needed was a little help. If the Mavs win, what can LeBron say? It's the one star team that history tells us can't win championships. If the Mavs win, LeBron will be looking kind of dumb. All that said lets be fair, those Cleveland teams were a joke and there GM should be ashamed of himself, but that's for a different story.

The deciding factor of this series will come down to the Mavericks hitting jump shots. The thing about the Mavericks is that's were all their points come from. Dirk isn't tearing up the paint. J Kidd isn't taking it to the hole. If the shots don't drop, Miami will dominate this series. If the shots don't drop. If they do drop, this is a very hard team to guard. You can't double anybody because the guy you leave will get the rock and drain it. On the other side I just don't see how Dallas expects to guard the heat. Shawn Marion has been playing lockdown and he shut Kevin Durant down, but Kevin Durant is not LeBron James. I know after the world championships everyone wanted to compare them, but I think we see now there is no comparison other than there both SF. LeBron does everything, and if your locking him up, he will spread the floor and find Wade, who I expect to come back hard.

I would think logically to say that if Wade comes on, Miami wins, if not, they lose. This could end up happening, but as we saw in the Chicago series this team goes as LeBron goes. You could say Wade started the run that won game 5, and you'd be right. That's it though, the rest of the series was won by LeBron with help from his sidekick, Chris Bosh (Mr. Two and a half men my ass) Who is going to lockdown Dwayne Wade? Don;t worry I'll wait. Give up? Exactly.

Overall, the only adavantage the Mavs have is Dirk over Bosh. It's not the advantage you'd think because Bosh is a match-up problem for Dirk too. Miami just has too much firepower. LeBron is just plan out of his mind right now. The Mavs know whats up when they play the heat in the finals. They can't rest easy with any lead, as those 06 memories will creep into Dirk and Terrys heads. When your team has a struggling Dwayne Wade and it really doesn't matter, your just not losing. I hope this one goes the distance to make up for the short series we've seen, but I'm going with Miami in 6.

Other Predictions
MVP-Lebron 29pts 9 reb 7 ast
Game by game(just to see how brilliant I am) Miami wins games 1 and 2, Dallas takes game 3, Miami game 4, Dallas game 5, and Miami closes it out in game 6.
Tears for Mark Cuban and Nowitski-Yes

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